Christian Watson or Luther Burden III: who should I start in Week 6?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Christian Watson at 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 23rd highest figure of the 131 players the market prices.

The player markets price Luther Burden III at 10.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 39th highest figure of the 131 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Christian Watson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 12th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Luther Burden III: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Christian Watson has been on the field for 79 percent of GB snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 3 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 40 targets have averaged 12.7 air yards.

In Week 3 against ATL he caught 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against TB he caught 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 5, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 64 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 9.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against PHI he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 4 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5.5 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 17.5 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Christian Watson scored 13.2 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 4.7 a game between them.

Christian Watson finished WR46 that year and Luther Burden III WR48.

Luther Burden III had 5 more targets than Christian Watson, 60 to 55.

Luther Burden III had 41 more receiving yards than Christian Watson, 652 to 611.

This season Christian Watson holds the bigger snap share, 79 percent against 64 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 22 percent each.

Byes and availability

Christian Watson is off in Week 11 and Luther Burden III in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.