Start Courtland Sutton or Darren Waller? Week 4

Our Week 4 call

Start Darren Waller over Courtland Sutton in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Darren Waller at 9.1 points and Courtland Sutton at 9.4, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Courtland Sutton, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Courtland Sutton at 39.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (15, 14 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Darren Waller, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Darren Waller at 34.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (17, 14 and 18 market sources).

That puts Courtland Sutton 0.3 points ahead of Darren Waller on the market projections.

Injury status

Courtland Sutton was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Darren Waller was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Courtland Sutton played 79 percent of DEN snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 28 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Courtland Sutton, Week 1 against KC: 39 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 2 against JAX: 45 of 62 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 3 against LAR: 58 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.

Through Week 3, Darren Waller played 44 percent of CAR snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Darren Waller, Week 1 against CHI: 24 of 68 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 2 against ATL: 29 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Darren Waller, Week 3 against CLE: 39 of 77 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 51 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Darren Waller played 9 games for MIA and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 210 air yards.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Darren Waller scored 6.6 PPR points and Courtland Sutton scored 1.4.

The call was right: Darren Waller outscored Courtland Sutton by 5.2.

Darren Waller finished 2.5 points below the 9.1 the market projected.

Darren Waller, Week 4 against DET: 40 of 75 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards, 6.6 PPR points.

Darren Waller finished as the week's TE26 in PPR scoring.

Courtland Sutton finished 8.0 points below the 9.4 the market projected.

Courtland Sutton, Week 4 against SF: 48 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 1.4 PPR points.

Courtland Sutton finished as the week's WR101 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Brenton Strange.
• Start Cam Skattebo over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Darren Waller over AJ Barner.
• Start Brenton Strange over Darren Waller.
• Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Darren Waller.