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Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Darren Waller? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Darren Waller

Right: 18.0 to 6.6
Start

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · final

Market projected
9.3
pre-game
Scored
18.0
PPR pts
Sit

Darren Waller

WR · final

Market projected
9.1
pre-game
Scored
6.6
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Darren Waller in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Deebo Samuel Sr. at 9.3 points and Darren Waller at 9.1, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 34.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (17, 13 and 17 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Darren Waller, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Darren Waller at 33.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 30% chance to score a touchdown (17, 14 and 16 market sources).

That puts Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.2 points ahead of Darren Waller on the market projections.

Injury status

Deebo Samuel Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Darren Waller was not on the injury report when the call was made.

How Week 4 went

Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 18.0 PPR points and Darren Waller scored 6.6.

The call was right: Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Darren Waller by 11.4.

Deebo Samuel Sr. finished 8.7 points above the 9.3 the market projected.

Darren Waller finished 2.5 points below the 9.1 the market projected.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR35 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-1

Overall rank
86
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

Ranked behind

TE · CAR · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size219 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board