Start Courtland Sutton or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Courtland Sutton over Deebo Samuel Sr.
Wrong: 1.4 to 18.0
- Market projected
- 9.4
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 74%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 16%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 1.4
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 9.3
- pre-game
- Scored
- 18.0
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Courtland Sutton over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Courtland Sutton at 9.4 points and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 9.3, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Courtland Sutton, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Courtland Sutton at 39.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (15, 14 and 18 market sources).
Player markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 34.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (17, 15 and 17 market sources).
That puts Courtland Sutton 0.1 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on the market projections.
Injury status
Courtland Sutton was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Deebo Samuel Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Courtland Sutton played 79 percent of DEN snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 28 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.
Courtland Sutton, Week 1 against KC: 39 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.
Courtland Sutton, Week 2 against JAX: 45 of 62 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.
Courtland Sutton, Week 3 against LAR: 58 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.
He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Courtland Sutton scored 1.4 PPR points and Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 18.0.
The call was wrong: Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Courtland Sutton by 16.6.
Courtland Sutton finished 8.0 points below the 9.4 the market projected.
Courtland Sutton, Week 4 against SF: 48 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 1.4 PPR points.
Courtland Sutton finished as the week's WR101 in PPR scoring.
Deebo Samuel Sr. finished 8.7 points above the 9.3 the market projected.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR31 · DEN · bye 10
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 77
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 14
Ranked behind
WR35 · SF · bye 8
2026 vs anytime td line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 86
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 14
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board9
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 14
- Board size219 draftable players
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