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Start Derrick Henry or D'Andre Swift? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Derrick Henry over D'Andre Swift

Market projects
15.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
59%
Through Week 4
Target share
7%
Through Week 4
Sit

D'Andre Swift

RB · CHI · at GB · Questionable

Market projects
14.9
fantasy pts
GB D vs RB
28.9
2nd most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
56%
Through Week 4
Target share
9%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Derrick Henry over D'Andre Swift in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 15.7 points and D'Andre Swift at 14.9, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Derrick Henry at 85.5 rushing yards, 4.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (14, 5, 5 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.9 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has D'Andre Swift at 14.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 56% chance to score a touchdown (7, 6 and 13 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 0.8 points ahead of D'Andre Swift on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

D'Andre Swift and CHI visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 29.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 28 more yards.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

D'Andre Swift is listed as questionable with a hip injury.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry played 59 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, D'Andre Swift played 56 percent of CHI snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns.

D'Andre Swift, Week 2 against MIN: 50 of 74 snaps, 16 carries for 45 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 54 yards.

D'Andre Swift, Week 3 against PHI: 50 of 72 snaps, 20 carries for 84 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.

D'Andre Swift, Week 4 against NYJ: 33 of 93 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.

He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB11 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
25
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

Ranked behind

RB13 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 4-0

Overall rank
28
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 7 and tier 8
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board