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Start Derrick Henry or Ashton Jeanty? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty

Market projects
17.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
59%
Through Week 4
Target share
7%
Through Week 4
Sit

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · at NE

Market projects
16.3
fantasy pts
NE D vs RB
20.9
15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
76%
Through Week 4
Target share
18%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 17.8 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.3, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.8 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Derrick Henry at 85.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Ashton Jeanty at 59.5 rushing yards, 22.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (10, 11, 10 and 15 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 1.4 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 90 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry played 59 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Ashton Jeanty played 76 percent of LV snaps, took 70 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 54 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB7 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
12
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB10 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
19
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board7
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 5
  • Board size219 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board