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Start Daniel Jones or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Daniel Jones over Michael Penix Jr.

Market projects
15.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
14.5
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Daniel Jones over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Daniel Jones at 15.3 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 14.5, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Daniel Jones at 214.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17, 14 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 221.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (16, 15 and 15 market sources).

That puts Daniel Jones 0.8 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 144 times and threw an average of 5.8 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 2 against KC: 65 of 65 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 3 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 36 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 5 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 4 against WAS: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 34 passes for 143 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB23 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 1-3

Overall rank
113
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB25 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 4-5

Overall rank
121
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 7
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board