Should I start Deshaun Watson or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 10?
Updated Nov 11, 1:41 AM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : Deshaun Watson: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : Deshaun Watson: Listed Questionable (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
Week 10 verdict
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson is listed out, so Michael Penix Jr. starts despite the lower projection.

- Market projects
- 15.1
- fantasy pts
- KC D vs QB
- 13.9
- 7th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 9

- Market projects
- 15.2
- fantasy pts
- HOU D vs QB
- 18.5
- 12th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 8
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson in Week 10. Deshaun Watson is listed out, so Michael Penix Jr. starts despite the lower projection. Watson is listed out.
Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Deshaun Watson?
Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 7 games) and Deshaun Watson 107 (15.3 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.
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Your next move
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.
QB19 · CLE · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 5-3
- Market-based projection
- 15.1 pts a game
QB21 · ATL · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 2-5
- Market-based projection
- 14.9 pts a game
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The gap
- Price difference0.1 points a game
- Board size313 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.
The market-based projections
Deshaun Watson's market-based projection is 15.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 34th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.
Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Deshaun Watson, and the board ranks him 110th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 115th overall on the rest of his evidence.
This season so far
Through Week 8, Deshaun Watson has been on the field for 99 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 306 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 65 of 306 dropbacks and scrambled 24 times.
In Week 6 against BAL he completed 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 8 times for 29 yards.
In Week 7 against TEN he completed 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.
In Week 8 against PIT he completed 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 3 yards.
Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and thrown 7.1 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 93 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.
In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.
In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.
In Week 9 against CIN he completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 50 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
The season feed carries no line for Deshaun Watson in the last completed season.
In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.
He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.
That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Head to head
Their snap share this season is the same, 99 percent each.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.
Deshaun Watson is listed as out on the injury report.
What would change the answer
0.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.
The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Deshaun Watson?
Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 7 games) and Deshaun Watson 107 (15.3 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.
Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Michael Penix Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 107 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 7 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 104 (14.9 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Deshaun Watson playing Week 10?
- Is Michael Penix Jr. playing Week 10?
- Browns depth chart
- Falcons depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings






