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Start Geno Smith or Jameis Winston? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Geno Smith over Jameis Winston

Start

Geno Smith

QB

Market projects
14.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
12.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
96%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Geno Smith over Jameis Winston in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 14.6 points and Jameis Winston at 12.9, a gap of 1.7.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Geno Smith at 206.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 14 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.9 fantasy points for Jameis Winston, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Jameis Winston at 199.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 2.5 rushing yards, with a 10% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 8 and 13 market sources).

That puts Geno Smith 1.7 points ahead of Jameis Winston on the market projections.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Jameis Winston is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Jameis Winston played 96 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 88 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.

Jameis Winston, Week 2 against LAR: 51 of 58 snaps, 11 of 27 passes for 111 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 1 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 3 against TEN: 64 of 64 snaps, 14 of 22 passes for 118 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 15 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 4 against ARI: 67 of 67 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 250 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jameis Winston played 3 games for NYG and scored 45.3 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing QB46.

He completed 37 of 66 passes for 567 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and ran 7 times for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB24 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
119
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB28 · NYG · bye unlisted

Overall rank
150
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board31
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 7
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board