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Start Tyler Shough or Geno Smith? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tyler Shough over Geno Smith

Start

Tyler Shough

QB · Questionable

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
14.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Tyler Shough over Geno Smith in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Tyler Shough at 16.6 points and Geno Smith at 14.5, a gap of 2.0.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Geno Smith at 206.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 15 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyler Shough at 238.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14 and 14 market sources).

That puts Tyler Shough 2.0 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Tyler Shough is listed as questionable with a hand injury.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 197 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 1 against DET: 90 of 90 snaps, 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 8 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 3 against LV: 74 of 74 snaps, 29 of 42 passes for 255 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 36 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB11 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 4-0

Overall rank
85
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB24 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
119
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board34
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 7
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board