Start Tyson Bagent or Geno Smith? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Tyson Bagent over Geno Smith in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Tyson Bagent at 15.8 points and Geno Smith at 14.6, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Geno Smith at 206.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 14 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Tyson Bagent, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyson Bagent at 218.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 12 and 14 market sources).

That puts Tyson Bagent 1.2 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Tyson Bagent played 62 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 45 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Geno Smith.
• Start Brock Purdy over Geno Smith.
• Start Tyson Bagent over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Tyson Bagent.
• Start Brock Purdy over Tyson Bagent.