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Start Sam Darnold or Jalen Hurts? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Sam Darnold over Jalen Hurts

Market projects
15.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
75%
Through Week 4
Market projects
15.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
98%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Sam Darnold over Jalen Hurts in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Sam Darnold at 15.4 points and Jalen Hurts at 15.1, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for Sam Darnold, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Sam Darnold at 226.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 4.5 rushing yards, with a 10% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 14 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.1 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Jalen Hurts at 186.5 passing yards and 26.5 rushing yards, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (14, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Sam Darnold 0.3 points ahead of Jalen Hurts on the market projections.

Injury status

Sam Darnold is not on the injury report.

Jalen Hurts is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Sam Darnold played 75 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 75 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Sam Darnold, Week 1 against NE: 5 of 50 snaps, 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Sam Darnold, Week 3 against WAS: 67 of 67 snaps, 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 4 against LAC: 60 of 60 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 4, Jalen Hurts played 98 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 137 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 48 yards.

Jalen Hurts, Week 2 against TEN: 76 of 76 snaps, 26 of 37 passes for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 5 carries for 16 yards.

Jalen Hurts, Week 3 against CHI: 46 of 50 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 153 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Jalen Hurts, Week 4 against LAR: 61 of 61 snaps, 12 of 27 passes for 93 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB17 · SEA · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 9-8

Overall rank
107
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB21 · PHI · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-3

Overall rank
114
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board7
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 6
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board