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Start Josh Allen or Tyler Shough? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Josh Allen over Tyler Shough

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · at LAR

Market projects
22.8
fantasy pts
LAR D vs QB
16.3
13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Sit

Tyler Shough

QB · Questionable

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Josh Allen over Tyler Shough in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 22.8 points and Tyler Shough at 16.6, a gap of 6.2.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.8 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Josh Allen at 244.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 36.5 rushing yards, with a 52% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 14 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyler Shough at 238.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14 and 14 market sources).

That puts Josh Allen 6.2 points ahead of Tyler Shough on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit LAR on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAR allowed 16.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 154 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against LAR, with 0.8 interceptions.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Tyler Shough is listed as questionable with a hand injury.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 3 against LAC: 66 of 66 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 7 carries for 23 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 4, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 197 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 1 against DET: 90 of 90 snaps, 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 8 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 3 against LV: 74 of 74 snaps, 29 of 42 passes for 255 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 36 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB1 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 6-0

Overall rank
24
Draft pick
ADP 1
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB12 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 4-0

Overall rank
87
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board63
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 6
  • Board size223 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board