Start Josh Downs or Stefon Diggs? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Josh Downs over Stefon Diggs in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Josh Downs at 13.3 points and Stefon Diggs at 12.5, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Stefon Diggs's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.3 fantasy points for Josh Downs, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Josh Downs at 58.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.5 fantasy points for Stefon Diggs, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Stefon Diggs a 36% chance to score a touchdown (14 market sources).

That puts Josh Downs 0.9 points ahead of Stefon Diggs on the market projections.

Injury status

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Stefon Diggs is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Josh Downs played 79 percent of IND snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 36 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 1 against BAL: 48 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 37 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 2 against KC: 54 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 72 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 3 against HOU: 48 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 5 catches for 77 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 4 against WAS: 51 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

Through Week 4, Stefon Diggs played 59 percent of WAS snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Stefon Diggs, Week 1 against PHI: 44 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown.

Stefon Diggs, Week 2 against DAL: 36 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 47 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Stefon Diggs, Week 3 against SEA: 41 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 33 yards.

Stefon Diggs, Week 4 against IND: 42 of 64 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Stefon Diggs played 17 games for NE and scored 210.3 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR17.

He caught 85 of 102 targets for 1013 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 659 air yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Josh Downs over Christian Watson.
• Start Davante Adams over Josh Downs.
• Start George Pickens over Josh Downs.
• Start Christian Watson over Stefon Diggs.
• Start Stefon Diggs over DK Metcalf.
• Start Stefon Diggs over Jaylen Waddle.