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Start Justice Hill or Tyler Goodson? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Justice Hill over Tyler Goodson

Market projects
3.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
41%
Through Week 4
Target share
6%
Through Week 4
Market projects
3.0
fantasy pts
Snap share
18%
Through Week 4
Target share
2%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Justice Hill over Tyler Goodson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 3.4 points and Tyler Goodson at 3.0, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Justice Hill's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Justice Hill at 11.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (11 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.0 fantasy points for Tyler Goodson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Tyler Goodson at 16.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (12 and 15 market sources).

That puts Justice Hill 0.4 points ahead of Tyler Goodson on the market projections.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Tyler Goodson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Justice Hill played 41 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 2 against NO: 27 of 58 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Through Week 4, Tyler Goodson played 18 percent of DAL snaps, took 16 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Goodson, Week 3 against BAL: 11 of 74 snaps, 6 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -5 yards.

Tyler Goodson, Week 4 against HOU: 16 of 78 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Goodson played 11 games for IND and scored 5.2 PPR points, 0.5 a game, finishing RB121.

He ran 9 times for 24 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 8 yards.

He was on the field for 5 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Goodson, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 1 carry for 3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB47 · BAL · bye unlisted

2026 vs rush yds line 2-2

Overall rank
170
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

Ranked behind

RB49 · DAL · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 0-11

Overall rank
174
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board4
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 13
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board