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Start Tony Pollard or Keaton Mitchell? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tony Pollard over Keaton Mitchell

Market projects
9.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
53%
Through Week 4
Target share
10%
Through Week 4
Market projects
7.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
33%
Through Week 4
Target share
9%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Tony Pollard over Keaton Mitchell in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Tony Pollard at 9.6 points and Keaton Mitchell at 7.7, a gap of 1.9. Keaton Mitchell's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.7 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Keaton Mitchell at 32.5 rushing yards, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.6 fantasy points for Tony Pollard, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Tony Pollard at 50.5 rushing yards, 8.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 30% chance to score a touchdown (13, 12, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Tony Pollard 1.9 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on the market projections.

Injury status

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Tony Pollard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Keaton Mitchell played 33 percent of LAC snaps, took 24 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 2 against LV: 17 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 24 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 4, Tony Pollard played 53 percent of TEN snaps, took 60 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 43 percent of the red zone chances.

Tony Pollard, Week 1 against NYJ: 26 of 50 snaps, 7 carries for 35 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 2 against PHI: 29 of 53 snaps, 14 carries for 64 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 1 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 3 against NYG: 32 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 74 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 4 against BAL: 34 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 48 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 2 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tony Pollard played 17 games for TEN and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He ran 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB32 · TEN · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
96
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

Ranked behind

RB35 · LAC · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
126
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board30
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 8 and tier 9
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board