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Start Matthew Stafford or Kyler Murray? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Matthew Stafford over Kyler Murray

Market projects
20.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
97%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
73%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Matthew Stafford over Kyler Murray in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 20.5 points and Kyler Murray at 16.2, a gap of 4.3.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Kyler Murray at 213.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 15.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 13 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 20.5 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Matthew Stafford at 280.5 passing yards and 2.5 passing touchdowns, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 15 market sources).

That puts Matthew Stafford 4.3 points ahead of Kyler Murray on the market projections.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Kyler Murray played 73 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 84 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Through Week 4, Matthew Stafford played 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 169 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 1 against SF: 51 of 61 snaps, 15 of 25 passes for 155 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 2 against NYG: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB4 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
35
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

QB16 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 0-5

Overall rank
95
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board60
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 6
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board