Matthew Stafford or Kyler Murray: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Matthew Stafford at 20.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 7th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Kyler Murray at 16.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 32nd highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Stafford: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Kyler Murray: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 169 times and thrown 9.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 28 of 169 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 2 against NYG he completed 22 of 30 passes for 327 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

In Week 3 against DEN he completed 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 13 yards.

In Week 4 against PHI he completed 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 11 yards.

Through Week 4, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 73 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 84 times and thrown 6.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 13 of 84 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against GB he completed 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 9 yards.

In Week 3 against TB he completed 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 4 against MIA he completed 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Kyler Murray 16.2, 4.9 a game between them.

Matthew Stafford finished QB3 that year and Kyler Murray QB38.

Matthew Stafford had 436 more pass attempts than Kyler Murray, 597 to 161.

Matthew Stafford had 3745 more passing yards than Kyler Murray, 4707 to 962.

This season Matthew Stafford holds the bigger snap share, 97 percent against 73 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Matthew Stafford is off in Week 11 and Kyler Murray in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

4.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.