Start Trevor Lawrence or Kyler Murray? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Kyler Murray in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.0 points and Kyler Murray at 16.2, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Kyler Murray at 213.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 15.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 13 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Trevor Lawrence at 225.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 13.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.7 points ahead of Kyler Murray on the market projections.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Kyler Murray played 73 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 84 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Kyler Murray over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Kyler Murray.
• Start Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Brock Purdy.