Trevor Lawrence or Kyler Murray: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Trevor Lawrence at 17.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

The player markets price Kyler Murray at 16.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 32nd highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 12.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Kyler Murray: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and thrown 8.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 113 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 2 against DEN he completed 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 3 against NE he completed 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 25 yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 4, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 73 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 84 times and thrown 6.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 13 of 84 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against GB he completed 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 9 yards.

In Week 3 against TB he completed 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 4 against MIA he completed 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Kyler Murray 16.2, 4.4 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and Kyler Murray QB38.

Trevor Lawrence had 399 more pass attempts than Kyler Murray, 560 to 161.

Trevor Lawrence had 3045 more passing yards than Kyler Murray, 4007 to 962.

This season Trevor Lawrence holds the bigger snap share, 96 percent against 73 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and Kyler Murray in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.