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Polymarket vs Kalshi

Which of the two gives you the better price, where each one is available, and what you give up either way.

They price about the same, but Polymarket covers more leagues.

If you only want one account, Polymarket is usually the better pick. Either way you'll find better numbers by comparing both against the rest of the market.

How they compare

  • What it is

    Both: Prediction market — you trade contracts, not bets

  • How sharp its prices are

    Our own 1–5 rating of how close its prices sit to what a bet is really worth (fair odds).

    Both: 4 of 5

  • Typical gap between the two sides

    That gap is the sportsbook's cut (the vig). Smaller leaves more of the price with you.

    Polymarket: (smaller cut)

    Kalshi:

  • Leagues covered

    Polymarket: about 15 (more leagues)

    Kalshi: about 12

  • Payouts and limits

    Polymarket: On-chain settlement (USDC). No KYC for non-US.

    Kalshi: CFTC-regulated event contracts. ACH funding.

  • Where it's available

    Polymarket: Geo-blocked in the US (as of 2024).

    Kalshi: Available in all 50 US states.

See tonight's prices on every book →

What each one is good and bad at

Polymarket

  • Strength: True consensus pricing
  • Strength: On-chain transparency
  • Strength: Deep elections / news markets
  • Trade-off: US-blocked
  • Trade-off: Crypto onboarding friction
  • Trade-off: Thin sports liquidity

Kalshi

  • Strength: CFTC-regulated
  • Strength: Available in CA/TX/etc.
  • Strength: Sports event contracts expanding
  • Trade-off: Lower liquidity than Polymarket on news
  • Trade-off: Limited prop coverage

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Parlae earns a commission when you sign up through some books. It never changes our ranking — the best price always wins. How we make money →

Common questions

  • Which one prices better, Polymarket or Kalshi?

    Polymarket and Kalshi price comparably — neither gives you a better price often enough to matter on standard bets.

  • Does Parlae get paid more by one of them?

    Possibly, and it changes nothing about what you see here. What we rank on is the price and how confident our model is; sign-up commissions are not an input. Our How we make money page shows the working.

  • Which one covers more leagues?

    Polymarket — about 15 leagues against 12.

  • Should I have both accounts?

    Comparing prices across more than one book is the biggest thing you control. Even when one is clearly the better priced of the two, the other will still post the better number on plenty of games.