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Pick'em edge

When the books think a pick'em number is wrong, that's your play. More or Less, reason attached.

Only football (NFL) has pick'em lines we can price right now.

The loudest calls

Real sportsbooks post the exact same number. 50% is a coin flip; the further from 50, the harder the books disagree with the board.

Football · NFL

  • Kirk CousinsFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 31% (9 price this number).
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 34% (2 price this number).
  • Kayshon BoutteFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 36% (2 price this number).
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 36% (4 price this number).
  • Rashee RiceFootballreceiving receptions 5.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 39% (2 price this number).
  • Rashid ShaheedFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Pat FreiermuthFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Dk MetcalfFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (4 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 40% (6 price this number).
  • Josh DownsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (4 price this number).
  • Darren WallerFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 41% (8 price this number).
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (3 price this number).
  • Tee HigginsFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 41% (3 price this number).
  • Bijan RobinsonFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 57% (9 price this number).
  • Xavier LegetteFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 55% (2 price this number).
  • Chase BrownFootballcarries 14.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 54% (3 price this number).
  • Jaxson DartFootballcompletions 20.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 46% (4 price this number).
  • Jaxson DartFootballcarries 6.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 47% (7 price this number).
  • Jake ElliottFootballkicking totalpoints 7.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 47% (3 price this number).
  • Jadarian PriceFootballrushing longestrush 13.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (6 price this number).
  • Cj StroudFootballpass attempts 30.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 53% (2 price this number).
  • Brian ThomasFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 52% (12 price this number).
  • Tetairoa McmillanFootballreceiving longestreception 23.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 52% (2 price this number).
  • Brian RobinsonFootballrushing longestrush 8.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 48% (2 price this number).

The number is off

The board asks one number, the books post another. The gap is the whole read; we never turn it into a made-up percentage.

Football · NFL

  • Cam WardFootballrushing longestrush 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 6.5.
  • David MontgomeryFootballreceiving yards 19.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 11.5.
  • Chuba HubbardFootballrushing yards, 1Q 19.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 12.5.
  • Kyren WilliamsFootballrushing yards, 1Q 19.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Devon AchaneFootballrushing yards, 1Q 19.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Drake MayeFootballrushing yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.
  • Travis Etienne JrFootballrushing yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Derrick HenryFootballrushing yards, 1Q 24.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 24.5. Books say 19.5.
  • Christian MccaffreyFootballrushing yards, 1Q 19.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 14.5.
  • Christian MccaffreyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 7.5.
  • Mack HollinsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 3.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Daniel JonesFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Jalen CokerFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 6.5.
  • Xavier WorthyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 3.5.
  • George KittleFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 6.5.
  • Woody MarksFootballreceiving yards 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 10.5.
  • Hunter HenryFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.
  • Daniel CarlsonFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Dominic ZvadaFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Cam LittleFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 253.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 253.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Chris OlaveFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Isaiah LikelyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Tyler WarrenFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Travis KelceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Josh DownsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Deebo SamuelFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Chuba HubbardFootballrushing yards 55.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 55.5. Books say 52.5.
  • Cam WardFootballpassing yards, 1Q 34.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 34.5. Books say 37.5.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing yards, 1Q 56.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 56.5. Books say 53.5.
  • Daniel JonesFootballpassing yards, 1Q 46.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 46.5. Books say 43.5.
  • Chase MclaughlinFootballkicking totalpoints 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 8.
  • Darren WallerFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Jonathan TaylorFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballpassing+rushing yards 249.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 249.5. Books say 241.5.
  • Davante AdamsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Jonathan TaylorFootballrushing+receiving yards 109.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 109.5. Books say 105.5.
  • Mike EvansFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 4.5. Books say 8.5.
  • Tyler LoopFootballextrapoints kicksmade 3.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Andy BorregalesFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 1.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Demarcus RobinsonFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Wandale RobinsonFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 4.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing+receiving yards 57.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 57.5. Books say 54.
  • Bryce YoungFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Drake MayeFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Bo NixFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Bryce YoungFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 2.375.
  • Cam WardFootballpassing yards 188.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 188.5. Books say 192.5.
  • Keenan AllenFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 3.5.
  • Rashee RiceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 4.5. Books say 7.5.
  • Alvin KamaraFootballreceiving receptions 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 2.5.
  • Travis Etienne JrFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 1.5.
  • Lamar JacksonFootballrushing yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 7.5.
  • Saquon BarkleyFootballrushing yards 79.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 79.5. Books say 77.5.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpass attempts 34.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 34.5. Books say 32.5.
  • Quinshon JudkinsFootballcarries 11.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 11.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Jerry JeudyFootballreceiving yards 26.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 26.5. Books say 28.5.

Coverage check: Pick'em lines in our feed right now: PrizePicks 1,204 (Football), Underdog 2,293 (Football), Fliff 1,503 (Football). Sportsbook player props in our feed right now: Football, Basketball, Baseball, Soccer.

How to read this page: each row is one player and one number. The pick'em board asks you to pick More or Less on that number, and we look at what the real sportsbooks post for the same player and stat. When a book posts the same number, we turn its prices into a plain chance of More, with the bookmaker margin taken out, and print how many books priced it; three or more books make a full row, two show as a thin market. When the books only post a different number, we print both numbers and stop there, because turning a different number into a percentage would be a guess. This is a disagreement meter, not a promised winner: the boards shade numbers on purpose, your entry's payout is not part of this math, and promo or ladder lines are left out instead of being compared as normal lines. Touchdown rows only ever compare the standard anytime market.