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Pick'em edge

When the books think a pick'em number is wrong, that's your play. More or Less, reason attached.

Only football (NFL) has pick'em lines we can price right now.

The loudest calls

Real sportsbooks post the exact same number. 50% is a coin flip; the further from 50, the harder the books disagree with the board.

Football · NFL

  • Jacoby BrissettFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 31% (14 price this number).
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 69% (14 price this number).
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 31% (15 price this number).
  • Geno SmithFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 33% (10 price this number).
  • Daniel JonesFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 33% (13 price this number).
  • Adam TrautmanFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 34% (9 price this number).
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 34% (2 price this number).
  • Jalen McmillanFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 35% (2 price this number).
  • Kayshon BoutteFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 36% (2 price this number).
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 64% (13 price this number).
  • Drew LockFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (14 price this number).
  • Noah GrayFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (8 price this number).
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 36% (6 price this number).
  • Tyquan ThorntonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (11 price this number).
  • Eddy PineiroFootballextrapoints kicksmade 3.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 37% (2 price this number).
  • Deshaun WatsonFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 63% (15 price this number).
  • Cam WardFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 62% (14 price this number).
  • Jalen HurtsFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 38% (15 price this number).
  • Brock PurdyFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 62% (15 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 38% (2 price this number).
  • Marshawn LloydFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 38% (12 price this number).
  • Rashee RiceFootballreceiving receptions 5.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 39% (2 price this number).
  • Rashid ShaheedFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Saquon BarkleyFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (10 price this number).
  • Riley PattersonFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 39% (2 price this number).
  • Cam LittleFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Pat FreiermuthFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Brock PurdyFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 39% (11 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (5 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (3 price this number).
  • Chase MclaughlinFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Cameron DickerFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (3 price this number).
  • Roman WilsonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (12 price this number).
  • Pat BryantFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (11 price this number).
  • Dk MetcalfFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (4 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 40% (7 price this number).
  • Pat FreiermuthFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (11 price this number).
  • Dominic ZvadaFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 60% (2 price this number).
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (7 price this number).
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (8 price this number).
  • Josh DownsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (4 price this number).
  • Bucky IrvingFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (4 price this number).
  • Dk MetcalfFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (8 price this number).
  • Marvin Harrison JrFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (10 price this number).
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (3 price this number).
  • Kayshon BoutteFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (7 price this number).
  • Jason MyersFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 41% (2 price this number).
  • Joey SlyeFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 41% (2 price this number).
  • Harold Fannin JrFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Underdog + Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (11 price this number).
  • Devon AchaneFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Fliff + Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 41% (9 price this number).
  • Tee HigginsFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessBooks say 41% (3 price this number).
  • David MontgomeryFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (8 price this number).
  • Jalen HurtsFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (11 price this number).
  • Mack HollinsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (13 price this number).
  • Malik WillisFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (14 price this number).
  • Greg DulcichFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (12 price this number).
  • Darnell WashingtonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (12 price this number).
  • Andy BorregalesFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (3 price this number).
  • Tee HigginsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (8 price this number).
  • Cooper KuppFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (11 price this number).

The number is off

The board asks one number, the books post another. The gap is the whole read; we never turn it into a made-up percentage.

Football · NFL

  • Cam WardFootballrushing longestrush 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 6.5.
  • David MontgomeryFootballreceiving yards 19.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 11.5.
  • Devon AchaneFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Devon AchaneFootballrushing yards, 1Q 19.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Drake MayeFootballrushing yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.
  • Jalen HurtsFootballrushing yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Rhamondre StevensonFootballrushing yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Bucky IrvingFootballrushing+receiving yards 76.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 76.5. Books say 81.5.
  • Christian MccaffreyFootballrushing yards, 1Q 19.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 19.5. Books say 14.5.
  • Christian MccaffreyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 7.5.
  • Mack HollinsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 3.
  • Cam WardFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Daniel JonesFootballrushing yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 255.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 255.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Patrick MahomesFootballpassing+rushing yards 249.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 249.5. Books say 241.5.
  • Xavier WorthyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 3.5.
  • George KittleFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 6.5.
  • Woody MarksFootballreceiving yards 14.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 10.5.
  • Jonathan TaylorFootballrushing+receiving yards 109.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 109.5. Books say 105.5.
  • Hunter HenryFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.
  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 256.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 256.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Devonta SmithFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 14.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 14.5. Books say 9.5.
  • Isaiah LikelyFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Tyler WarrenFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Travis KelceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Josh DownsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Deebo SamuelFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Emeka EgbukaFootballreceiving yards 49.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 49.5. Books say 52.5.
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Chase MclaughlinFootballkicking totalpoints 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 8.
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Jonathan TaylorFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Malik WashingtonFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 4.5. Books say 0.25.
  • Davante AdamsFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 9.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 9.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing yards, 1Q 41.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 41.5. Books say 45.5.
  • Mike EvansFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 4.5. Books say 8.5.
  • Joey SlyeFootballfield goals made 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 1.5.
  • Cameron DickerFootballfield goals made 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.5.
  • Andy BorregalesFootballfield goals made 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.5.
  • Chase MclaughlinFootballfield goals made 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.5.
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing+rushing yards 245.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 245.5. Books say 250.5.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing+receiving yards 56.5on PrizePicks + Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 56.5. Books say 54.
  • Demarcus RobinsonFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 3.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Wandale RobinsonFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 4.
  • Drake MayeFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Bo NixFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Brock PurdyFootballpassing touchdowns 2.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 0.75.
  • Cam LittleFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.125.
  • Daniel JonesFootballpassing+rushing yards 225.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 225.5. Books say 229.5.
  • Cam WardFootballpassing yards, 1Q 34.5on Underdog· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 34.5. Books say 37.5.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing yards, 1Q 56.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 56.5. Books say 53.5.
  • Keenan AllenFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 0.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 0.5. Books say 3.5.
  • Rashee RiceFootballreceiving yards, 1Q 4.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 4.5. Books say 7.5.
  • David MontgomeryFootballrushing+receiving yards 79.5on Underdog· NFLMoreThey ask 79.5. Books say 81.5.
  • Chase BrownFootballrushing yards 57.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 57.5. Books say 55.5.
  • Chase BrownFootballreceiving yards 21.5on PrizePicks· NFLLessThey ask 21.5. Books say 19.5.
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpass attempts 34.5on Underdog· NFLLessThey ask 34.5. Books say 32.5.
  • Malik NabersFootballreceiving yards 63.5on PrizePicks· NFLMoreThey ask 63.5. Books say 65.5.

Coverage check: Pick'em lines in our feed right now: PrizePicks 1,211 (Football), Underdog 2,273 (Football), Fliff 1,516 (Football). Sportsbook player props in our feed right now: Football, Basketball, Baseball, Soccer.

How to read this page: each row is one player and one number. The pick'em board asks you to pick More or Less on that number, and we look at what the real sportsbooks post for the same player and stat. When a book posts the same number, we turn its prices into a plain chance of More, with the bookmaker margin taken out, and print how many books priced it; three or more books make a full row, two show as a thin market. When the books only post a different number, we print both numbers and stop there, because turning a different number into a percentage would be a guess. This is a disagreement meter, not a promised winner: the boards shade numbers on purpose, your entry's payout is not part of this math, and promo or ladder lines are left out instead of being compared as normal lines. Touchdown rows only ever compare the standard anytime market.