Ashton Jeanty or Justin Jefferson: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Ashton Jeanty at 17.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 15th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Justin Jefferson at 17.4 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 17 books. That is the 20th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room has them

Ashton Jeanty goes at ADP 3, an average pick of 20.3, and the board has him RB6 in tier 2.

His earliest recorded pick is 7 and his latest 26, a standard deviation of 5.0 picks.

He appears in 923 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

Over 14 days his average pick has not moved a full pick either way.

By format he goes standard: ADP 8; 2QB: ADP 38.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Justin Jefferson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 10th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 29.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Ashton Jeanty has been on the field for 74 percent of LV snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 58 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 8 third down targets and seen 2 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 3.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against MIA he carried 23 times for 102 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 45 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 1, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 92 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 39 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 10 third down targets and had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five.

His 9 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 1 against GB he caught 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ashton Jeanty played 17 games and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He carried 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 more yards.

That came to 15.6 carries a game at 3.7 yards a carry and 3.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 12.5 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Ashton Jeanty scored 14.4 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 2.6 a game between them.

Ashton Jeanty finished RB11 and Justin Jefferson WR21, which are two different ladders.

Ashton Jeanty is a running back and Justin Jefferson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Ashton Jeanty is off in Week 13 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.