Should I start Chris Olave or Justin Jefferson in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Olave, and the board ranks him 80th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In standard drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Chris Olave is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 2.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chris Olave's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Chris Olave has been on the field for 81 percent of NO snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 1 of its 23 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 71 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he caught 4 of 7 targets for 43 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against PIT he caught 6 of 10 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 77 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 12 two minute targets.

His 40 targets have averaged 10.0 air yards.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 5 of 9 targets for 33 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chris Olave played 16 games and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chris Olave scored 16.8 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 5.0 a game between them.

Chris Olave finished WR6 that year and Justin Jefferson WR21.

Chris Olave had 15 more targets than Justin Jefferson, 156 to 141.

Chris Olave had 115 more receiving yards than Justin Jefferson, 1163 to 1048.

This season Chris Olave holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 77 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 27 percent each.

Byes and availability

Chris Olave is off in Week 8 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.