Dalton Kincaid or Jackson Hawes: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Dalton Kincaid at 12.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 18 market sources. That is the 7th highest figure of the 22 players the market prices.

The player markets price Jackson Hawes at 1.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 22 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Dalton Kincaid: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 46th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jackson Hawes: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 248th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 31 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.6 air yards.

In Week 2 against DET he caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against LAC he caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Jackson Hawes has been on the field for 39 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 1 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 31 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 1 target have averaged 36.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against DET he was not given the ball.

In Week 3 against LAC he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NE he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jackson Hawes played 17 games and scored 52.7 PPR points, 3.1 a game, finishing TE51.

He caught 16 of 19 targets for 187 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 1.1 targets a game, a 84 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 44 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jackson Hawes was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid scored 10.5 PPR points a game and Jackson Hawes 3.1, 7.4 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 that year and Jackson Hawes TE51.

Dalton Kincaid had 30 more targets than Jackson Hawes, 49 to 19.

Dalton Kincaid had 384 more receiving yards than Jackson Hawes, 571 to 187.

This season Dalton Kincaid holds the bigger snap share, 66 percent against 39 percent.

This season Dalton Kincaid holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 1 percent.

Byes and availability

Dalton Kincaid is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Jackson Hawes.

What would change the answer

11.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.