Tetairoa McMillan or Dalton Kincaid: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Tetairoa McMillan at 13.2 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 59th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

The player markets price Dalton Kincaid at 12.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 67th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tetairoa McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 41st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 51.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Dalton Kincaid: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 164.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 81 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 15 third down targets, had 2 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have averaged 13.9 air yards.

In Week 1 against CHI he caught 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 69 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 11 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 13.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against HOU he caught 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against DET he caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 14.5 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 1.9 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 and Dalton Kincaid TE20, which are two different ladders.

Tetairoa McMillan is a wide receiver and Dalton Kincaid a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Dalton Kincaid in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.