Tetairoa McMillan or Jaylen Waddle: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Tetairoa McMillan at 13.2 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 64th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Jaylen Waddle at 12.6 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 69th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tetairoa McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 41st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 51.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jaylen Waddle: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 15; 2QB: ADP 73.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 81 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 15 third down targets, had 2 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have averaged 13.9 air yards.

In Week 1 against CHI he caught 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Jaylen Waddle has been on the field for 67 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 15 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 12.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against KC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against JAX he caught 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 14.5 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylen Waddle played 16 games and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.3 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 14.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Jaylen Waddle 12.1, 0.3 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Jaylen Waddle WR24.

Tetairoa McMillan had 22 more targets than Jaylen Waddle, 122 to 100.

Tetairoa McMillan had 104 more receiving yards than Jaylen Waddle, 1014 to 910.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 67 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Jaylen Waddle in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.