Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Michael Wilson: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 20.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 18 market sources. That is the 8th highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Wilson at 17.6 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 18 market sources. That is the 17th highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 6th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 8.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been on the field for 82 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 37 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 31 third down targets, had 2 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 9.9 air yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he caught 9 of 11 targets for 155 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against WAS he caught 10 of 14 targets for 128 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 5 of 6 targets for 76 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 91 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 4 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 9.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against SEA he caught 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against SF he caught 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.

He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 9.6 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Michael Wilson 13.0, 8.2 a game between them.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished WR2 that year and Michael Wilson WR10.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 37 more targets than Michael Wilson, 163 to 126.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 787 more receiving yards than Michael Wilson, 1793 to 1006.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 91 percent against 82 percent.

This season Jaxon Smith-Njigba holds the bigger target share, 37 percent against 30 percent.

Byes and availability

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is off in Week 11 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.