Tetairoa McMillan or Josh Downs: who should I start in Week 6?

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tetairoa McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 77th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Josh Downs: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 78th overall on the rest of his evidence.

What the player markets price

The market has Tetairoa McMillan at 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Josh Downs at 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's price is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 87 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 3 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 5, Josh Downs has been on the field for 79 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 11.1 air yards.

In Week 3 against HOU he caught 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 14.5 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5.5 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 3.9 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Josh Downs WR44.

Tetairoa McMillan had 34 more targets than Josh Downs, 122 to 88.

Tetairoa McMillan had 448 more receiving yards than Josh Downs, 1014 to 566.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 79 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 20 percent.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.