Ajay Mitchell vs Kelly Oubre: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Kelly Oubre in both formats: 26.7 fantasy points a game to 26.3 in points leagues, and 96th against 97th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #128
- 26.3 FP/G, slot 11.08, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #97
- -1.3 z, slot 9.01, $8
Game-time decision (Rest)
- Points leagues
- #120
- 26.7 FP/G, slot 10.12, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #96
- -1.3 z, slot 8.12, $9
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Kelly Oubre. 26.7 fantasy points per game against 26.3, 120th on our board to 128th.
9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre again, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (96th to 97th).
Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 3 (AST, FG% and FT%) and Kelly Oubre in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Ajay Mitchell produces more: 36.6 fantasy points to 30.5, on 25.8 minutes a night against 31.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre: 80.1 projected fantasy points to 78.8 for Ajay Mitchell.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ajay Mitchell | Kelly Oubre |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.3 | 26.7 |
| Minutes | 25.8 | 31.5 |
| PointsPTS | 13.6 | 14.1 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.3 | 5.0 |
| AssistsAST | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.5% | 46.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 87.0% | 76.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 57 | 50 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ajay Mitchell | Kelly Oubre |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.6 | 30.5 |
| Points | 18.9 | 16.1 |
| Rebounds | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 1.8 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Ajay Mitchell | Kelly Oubre |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| AssistsAST | -0.0 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | +0.6 | +1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.0 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.6 | -0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | +0.6 |
| Total | -1.3 | -1.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, steals, blocks, threes and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Ajay Mitchell.
| Punt | Ajay Mitchell | Kelly Oubre |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#96) | -0.9 (#104) |
| REB | -0.2 (#65) | -1.1 (#93) |
| AST | -1.3 (#117) | -0.3 (#69) |
| STL | -2.0 (#138) | -2.3 (#156) |
| BLK | -0.6 (#76) | -1.0 (#90) |
| 3PM | -0.8 (#90) | -1.4 (#108) |
| FG% | -1.4 (#98) | -1.2 (#94) |
| FT% | -1.9 (#132) | -1.0 (#95) |
| TO | -1.9 (#107) | -1.9 (#108) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Ajay Mitchell: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC), listed GTD.
- Kelly Oubre: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
Recent games
- Ajay Mitchell: 21.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.3 on the board.
- Kelly Oubre: 27.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Ajay Mitchell or Kelly Oubre in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Kelly Oubre. 26.7 fantasy points per game against 26.3, 120th on our board to 128th. 9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre again, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (96th to 97th).
Who wins more categories, Ajay Mitchell or Kelly Oubre?
Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 3 (AST, FG% and FT%) and Kelly Oubre in 6 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Ajay Mitchell or Kelly Oubre?
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kelly Oubre 3. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre: 80.1 projected fantasy points to 78.8 for Ajay Mitchell.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number