Collin Sexton vs Daniel Gafford: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Collin Sexton in points leagues (24.8 fantasy points a game to 24.3) and Daniel Gafford in 9-cat leagues (121st against 151st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #141
- 24.8 FP/G, slot 12.09, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #151
- -2.5 z, slot 13.07, $2
Game-time decision (Lower Leg)
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #144
- 24.3 FP/G, slot 12.12, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #121
- -1.9 z, slot 11.01, $5
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Collin Sexton. 24.8 fantasy points per game against 24.3, 141st on our board to 144th.
9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (121st to 151st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Daniel Gafford in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 40.2 fantasy points to 37.6, on 21.7 minutes a night against 23.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 74.4 projected fantasy points to 72.8 for Daniel Gafford.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Collin Sexton | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.8 | 24.3 |
| Minutes | 23.7 | 21.7 |
| PointsPTS | 15.4 | 9.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.3 | 6.9 |
| AssistsAST | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.5% | 65.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 85.5% | 68.3% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 68 | 55 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Collin Sexton | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 37.6 | 40.2 |
| Points | 23.4 | 15.8 |
| Rebounds | 3.5 | 11.4 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 1.7 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 2.1 |
| Threes | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Collin Sexton | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.6 | +0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | +0.3 | -0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | +1.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.0 | +1.6 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.6 | -1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.3 | +0.9 |
| Total | -2.5 | -1.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Collin Sexton.
| Punt | Collin Sexton | Daniel Gafford |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.4 (#181) | -0.6 (#89) |
| REB | -1.0 (#88) | -2.7 (#174) |
| AST | -2.4 (#170) | -0.6 (#74) |
| STL | -2.9 (#178) | -1.2 (#108) |
| BLK | -1.5 (#103) | -3.4 (#197) |
| 3PM | -2.6 (#162) | -0.1 (#65) |
| FG% | -2.6 (#142) | -4.2 (#212) |
| FT% | -3.3 (#184) | -0.8 (#86) |
| TO | -2.3 (#118) | -3.0 (#139) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Collin Sexton: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA), listed GTD.
- Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Collin Sexton: 32.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.8 on the board.
- Daniel Gafford: 31.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Collin Sexton or Daniel Gafford in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Collin Sexton. 24.8 fantasy points per game against 24.3, 141st on our board to 144th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (121st to 151st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Collin Sexton or Daniel Gafford?
Category by category, Collin Sexton is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Daniel Gafford in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Collin Sexton or Daniel Gafford?
Collin Sexton plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 74.4 projected fantasy points to 72.8 for Daniel Gafford.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number