De'Aaron Fox vs Ryan Rollins: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft De'Aaron Fox in points leagues (34.5 fantasy points a game to 34.2) and Ryan Rollins in 9-cat leagues (47th against 71st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #51
- 34.5 FP/G, slot 5.03, $18
- 9-cat leagues
- #71
- -0.4 z, slot 6.11, $13
Day to day (Undisclosed)
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #54
- 34.2 FP/G, slot 5.06, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #47
- +0.6 z, slot 4.11, $19
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft De'Aaron Fox. 34.5 fantasy points per game against 34.2, 51st on our board to 54th.
9-cat leagues: Ryan Rollins instead, +0.6 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (47th to 71st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, De'Aaron Fox is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, FG% and TO) and Ryan Rollins in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, De'Aaron Fox produces more: 40.1 fantasy points to 38.3, on 31.0 minutes a night against 32.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
De'Aaron Fox plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ryan Rollins 3. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 102.6 for Ryan Rollins.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | De'Aaron Fox | Ryan Rollins |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 34.5 | 34.2 |
| Minutes | 31.0 | 32.1 |
| PointsPTS | 18.6 | 17.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| AssistsAST | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| StealsSTL | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.6% | 47.2% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.0% | 79.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 74 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | De'Aaron Fox | Ryan Rollins |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.1 | 38.3 |
| Points | 21.6 | 19.4 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| Assists | 7.2 | 6.3 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 3.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | De'Aaron Fox | Ryan Rollins |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| AssistsAST | +1.2 | +0.9 |
| StealsSTL | +0.6 | +1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | +0.2 | +0.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.0 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.4 | -0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | -1.1 |
| Total | -0.4 | +0.6 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Ryan Rollins stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | De'Aaron Fox | Ryan Rollins |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.9 (#101) | +0.4 (#48) |
| REB | +0.4 (#52) | +1.2 (#35) |
| AST | -1.8 (#137) | -0.5 (#72) |
| STL | -1.1 (#101) | -0.7 (#81) |
| BLK | +0.4 (#53) | +1.2 (#37) |
| 3PM | -0.7 (#88) | -0.3 (#71) |
| FG% | -0.7 (#80) | +1.0 (#45) |
| FT% | -0.1 (#66) | +0.6 (#49) |
| TO | +0.1 (#59) | +1.8 (#37) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- De'Aaron Fox: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Ryan Rollins: 3 games (Wed @WAS, Fri CHI, Sat @PHI), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- De'Aaron Fox: 31.6 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 34.5 on the board.
- Ryan Rollins: 36.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 34.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft De'Aaron Fox or Ryan Rollins in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft De'Aaron Fox. 34.5 fantasy points per game against 34.2, 51st on our board to 54th. 9-cat leagues: Ryan Rollins instead, +0.6 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (47th to 71st), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, De'Aaron Fox or Ryan Rollins?
Category by category, De'Aaron Fox is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, FG% and TO) and Ryan Rollins in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, De'Aaron Fox or Ryan Rollins?
De'Aaron Fox plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Ryan Rollins 3. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 103.6 projected fantasy points to 102.6 for Ryan Rollins.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number