Franz Wagner vs Nickeil Alexander-Walker: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Nickeil Alexander-Walker in both formats: 33.9 fantasy points a game to 33.9 in points leagues, and 26th against 75th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #56
- 33.9 FP/G, slot 5.08, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #75
- -0.5 z, slot 7.03, $13
- Points leagues
- #55
- 33.9 FP/G, slot 5.07, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #26
- +2.0 z, slot 3.02, $26
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 33.9 fantasy points per game against 33.9, 55th on our board to 56th.
9-cat leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker again, +2.0 in summed z-scores against -0.5 (26th to 75th).
Category by category, Franz Wagner is ahead in 3 (REB, FG% and TO) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in 5 (AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Franz Wagner produces more: 40.7 fantasy points to 36.6, on 30.0 minutes a night against 33.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Franz Wagner plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 3. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 101.7 projected fantasy points to 101.6 for Franz Wagner.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Franz Wagner | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 33.9 | 33.9 |
| Minutes | 30.0 | 33.4 |
| PointsPTS | 20.6 | 20.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| AssistsAST | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.1% | 45.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 82.3% | 90.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 34 | 78 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Franz Wagner | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.7 | 36.6 |
| Points | 24.7 | 22.5 |
| Rebounds | 6.3 | 3.7 |
| Assists | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Franz Wagner | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.7 | +0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.3 | -1.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | -0.0 |
| StealsSTL | -0.2 | +0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | +1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | -0.7 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.4 | +1.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.2 | -0.3 |
| Total | -0.5 | +2.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Nickeil Alexander-Walker stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Franz Wagner | Nickeil Alexander-Walker |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.2 (#115) | +1.2 (#33) |
| REB | -0.4 (#70) | +3.2 (#15) |
| AST | -0.4 (#71) | +1.9 (#24) |
| STL | -0.4 (#72) | +1.2 (#33) |
| BLK | +0.1 (#64) | +2.4 (#22) |
| 3PM | -0.4 (#74) | +0.2 (#55) |
| FG% | -0.6 (#78) | +3.1 (#18) |
| FT% | -1.0 (#98) | +0.6 (#47) |
| TO | -0.8 (#77) | +2.3 (#31) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Franz Wagner: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK).
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3 games (Wed @ORL, Fri @CHA, Sat HOU), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Franz Wagner: 23.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.9 on the board.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 38.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Franz Wagner or Nickeil Alexander-Walker in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Nickeil Alexander-Walker. 33.9 fantasy points per game against 33.9, 55th on our board to 56th. 9-cat leagues: Nickeil Alexander-Walker again, +2.0 in summed z-scores against -0.5 (26th to 75th).
Who wins more categories, Franz Wagner or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?
Category by category, Franz Wagner is ahead in 3 (REB, FG% and TO) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in 5 (AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Franz Wagner or Nickeil Alexander-Walker?
Franz Wagner plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Nickeil Alexander-Walker 3. For that week alone, start Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 101.7 projected fantasy points to 101.6 for Franz Wagner.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number