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Jalen Williams vs Rudy Gobert: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Jalen Williams in points leagues (33.3 fantasy points a game to 33.0) and Rudy Gobert in 9-cat leagues (77th against 83rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Jalen Williams
PFSFSGOKCage 25GTD
Points leagues
#63
33.3 FP/G, slot 6.03, $16
9-cat leagues
#83
-0.6 z, slot 7.11, $12

Game-time decision (Rest)

The pick in points leagues.

Rudy Gobert
CMINage 34
Points leagues
#65
33.0 FP/G, slot 6.05, $15
9-cat leagues
#77
-0.5 z, slot 7.05, $12

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Jalen Williams. 33.3 fantasy points per game against 33.0, 63rd on our board to 65th.

9-cat leagues: Rudy Gobert instead, -0.5 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (77th to 83rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Jalen Williams is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Rudy Gobert in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Jalen Williams produces more: 42.2 fantasy points to 37.9, on 28.4 minutes a night against 31.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jalen Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Williams: 99.8 projected fantasy points to 99.0 for Rudy Gobert.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameJalen WilliamsRudy Gobert
Fantasy points per game33.333.0
Minutes28.431.3
PointsPTS17.110.9
ReboundsREB4.611.5
AssistsAST5.51.7
StealsSTL1.20.8
BlocksBLK0.31.6
Threes3PM0.70.0
Field goal %FG%48.4%68.2%
Free throw %FT%83.7%52.6%
TurnoversTO1.91.4
Games, 2025-263376

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jalen WilliamsRudy Gobert
Fantasy points42.237.9
Points21.712.5
Rebounds5.813.2
Assists7.01.9
Steals1.50.9
Blocks0.31.9
Threes0.90.0
Turnovers2.41.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJalen WilliamsRudy Gobert
PointsPTS+0.1-1.0
ReboundsREB-0.6+2.5
AssistsAST+0.9-1.0
StealsSTL+0.5-0.7
BlocksBLK-0.9+2.0
Threes3PM-1.0-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1+2.0
Free throw percentageFT%+0.5-3.3
TurnoversTO-0.1+0.6
Total-0.6-0.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Williams.

PuntJalen WilliamsRudy Gobert
PTS-0.7 (#94)+0.3 (#52)
REB-0.2 (#62)-3.8 (#242)
AST-1.6 (#131)+0.4 (#49)
STL-1.2 (#103)-0.0 (#65)
BLK+0.1 (#63)-3.1 (#177)
3PM+0.2 (#58)+1.2 (#36)
FG%-0.9 (#84)-4.1 (#202)
FT%-1.2 (#103)+2.8 (#15)
TO-0.6 (#74)-1.4 (#96)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jalen Williams: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC), listed GTD.
  • Rudy Gobert: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jalen Williams: 29.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.3 on the board.
  • Rudy Gobert: 34.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Jalen Williams or Rudy Gobert in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Jalen Williams. 33.3 fantasy points per game against 33.0, 63rd on our board to 65th. 9-cat leagues: Rudy Gobert instead, -0.5 in summed z-scores against -0.6 (77th to 83rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jalen Williams or Rudy Gobert?

    Category by category, Jalen Williams is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Rudy Gobert in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Williams or Rudy Gobert?

    Jalen Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Rudy Gobert 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Williams: 99.8 projected fantasy points to 99.0 for Rudy Gobert.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number