Matisse Thybulle vs Mitchell Robinson: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Mitchell Robinson in points leagues (23.1 fantasy points a game to 16.2) and Matisse Thybulle in 9-cat leagues (131st against 133rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #269
- 16.2 FP/G, slot 23.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #131
- -2.1 z, slot 11.11, $4
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #159
- 23.1 FP/G, slot 14.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #133
- -2.1 z, slot 12.01, $4
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Mitchell Robinson. 23.1 fantasy points per game against 16.2, 159th on our board to 269th.
9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -2.1 (131st to 133rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Matisse Thybulle is ahead in 3 (STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 42.4 fantasy points to 36.4, on 19.6 minutes a night against 16.0. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Matisse Thybulle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Matisse Thybulle: 48.5 projected fantasy points to 46.2 for Mitchell Robinson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Matisse Thybulle | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 16.2 | 23.1 |
| Minutes | 16.0 | 19.6 |
| PointsPTS | 5.8 | 5.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.0 | 8.8 |
| AssistsAST | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| StealsSTL | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.3% | 72.3% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.0% | 40.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 30 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Matisse Thybulle | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.4 | 42.4 |
| Points | 13.0 | 10.4 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 16.1 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Threes | 2.8 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Matisse Thybulle | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.9 | -1.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.8 | +1.3 |
| AssistsAST | -1.4 | -1.4 |
| StealsSTL | +2.8 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.3 | +1.0 |
| Threes3PM | -0.4 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.4 | +1.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | -2.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.5 |
| Total | -2.1 | -2.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Mitchell Robinson.
| Punt | Matisse Thybulle | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.3 (#73) | -0.3 (#75) |
| REB | -0.6 (#75) | -4.0 (#252) |
| AST | -0.8 (#89) | -0.8 (#87) |
| STL | -4.9 (#291) | -2.0 (#144) |
| BLK | -2.0 (#130) | -3.6 (#208) |
| 3PM | -1.6 (#118) | -0.4 (#73) |
| FG% | -1.9 (#121) | -4.5 (#226) |
| FT% | -2.2 (#142) | +0.0 (#62) |
| TO | -3.4 (#151) | -3.9 (#170) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Matisse Thybulle: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
- Mitchell Robinson: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).
Recent games
- Matisse Thybulle: 19.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 16.2 on the board.
- Mitchell Robinson: 25.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 23.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Matisse Thybulle or Mitchell Robinson in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Mitchell Robinson. 23.1 fantasy points per game against 16.2, 159th on our board to 269th. 9-cat leagues: Matisse Thybulle instead, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -2.1 (131st to 133rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Matisse Thybulle or Mitchell Robinson?
Category by category, Matisse Thybulle is ahead in 3 (STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Matisse Thybulle or Mitchell Robinson?
Matisse Thybulle plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Matisse Thybulle: 48.5 projected fantasy points to 46.2 for Mitchell Robinson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number