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RJ Barrett vs Sam Merrill: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft RJ Barrett in both formats: 32.0 fantasy points a game to 20.9 in points leagues, and 146th against 148th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

RJ Barrett
SFPFSGTORage 26
Points leagues
#71
32.0 FP/G, slot 6.11, $14
9-cat leagues
#146
-2.4 z, slot 13.02, $2

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Sam Merrill
SGSFCLEage 30
Points leagues
#195
20.9 FP/G, slot 17.03
9-cat leagues
#148
-2.4 z, slot 13.04, $2

The call

Points leagues: draft RJ Barrett. 32.0 fantasy points per game against 20.9, 71st on our board to 195th.

9-cat leagues: RJ Barrett again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (146th to 148th).

Category by category, RJ Barrett is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK and FG%) and Sam Merrill in 3 (3PM, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, RJ Barrett produces more: 38.1 fantasy points to 28.4, on 30.3 minutes a night against 26.5. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

RJ Barrett plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Merrill 2. For that week alone, start RJ Barrett: 96.1 projected fantasy points to 41.9 for Sam Merrill.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameRJ BarrettSam Merrill
Fantasy points per game32.020.9
Minutes30.326.5
PointsPTS19.312.8
ReboundsREB5.32.6
AssistsAST3.32.4
StealsSTL0.70.6
BlocksBLK0.30.1
Threes3PM1.73.0
Field goal %FG%49.1%46.1%
Free throw %FT%71.7%85.5%
TurnoversTO1.70.8
Games, 2025-265752

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36RJ BarrettSam Merrill
Fantasy points38.128.4
Points22.917.3
Rebounds6.33.5
Assists3.93.3
Steals0.90.9
Blocks0.40.2
Threes2.04.1
Turnovers2.11.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryRJ BarrettSam Merrill
PointsPTS+0.5-0.7
ReboundsREB-0.3-1.5
AssistsAST-0.2-0.6
StealsSTL-0.8-1.1
BlocksBLK-0.7-1.1
Threes3PM+0.0+1.4
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1-0.4
Free throw percentageFT%-1.2+0.2
TurnoversTO+0.2+1.3
Total-2.4-2.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Sam Merrill.

PuntRJ BarrettSam Merrill
PTS-3.0 (#218)-1.8 (#147)
REB-2.5 (#159)-0.9 (#84)
AST-2.4 (#168)-1.8 (#138)
STL-1.8 (#131)-1.4 (#120)
BLK-1.9 (#127)-1.3 (#94)
3PM-2.6 (#161)-3.9 (#225)
FG%-3.2 (#165)-1.9 (#117)
FT%-1.3 (#109)-2.7 (#162)
TO-2.7 (#130)-3.9 (#169)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • RJ Barrett: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).
  • Sam Merrill: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • RJ Barrett: 32.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 32.0 on the board.
  • Sam Merrill: 24.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 20.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft RJ Barrett or Sam Merrill in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft RJ Barrett. 32.0 fantasy points per game against 20.9, 71st on our board to 195th. 9-cat leagues: RJ Barrett again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -2.4 (146th to 148th).

  • Who wins more categories, RJ Barrett or Sam Merrill?

    Category by category, RJ Barrett is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK and FG%) and Sam Merrill in 3 (3PM, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, RJ Barrett or Sam Merrill?

    RJ Barrett plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Sam Merrill 2. For that week alone, start RJ Barrett: 96.1 projected fantasy points to 41.9 for Sam Merrill.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number