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Stephen Curry vs Trey Murphy: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Stephen Curry in both formats: 39.7 fantasy points a game to 37.8 in points leagues, and 10th against 11th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Stephen Curry
PGGSWage 38
Points leagues
#33
39.7 FP/G, slot 3.09, $25
9-cat leagues
#10
+3.9 z, slot 1.10, $37

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Trey Murphy
SGSFNOPage 26
Points leagues
#41
37.8 FP/G, slot 4.05, $23
9-cat leagues
#11
+3.8 z, slot 1.11, $36

The call

Points leagues: draft Stephen Curry. 39.7 fantasy points per game against 37.8, 33rd on our board to 41st.

9-cat leagues: Stephen Curry again, +3.9 in summed z-scores against +3.8 (10th to 11th).

Category by category, Stephen Curry is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Trey Murphy in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Stephen Curry produces more: 46.3 fantasy points to 38.4, on 30.9 minutes a night against 35.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Stephen Curry plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy 3. For that week alone, start Stephen Curry: 119.2 projected fantasy points to 113.5 for Trey Murphy.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameStephen CurryTrey Murphy
Fantasy points per game39.737.8
Minutes30.935.5
PointsPTS26.621.5
ReboundsREB3.65.7
AssistsAST4.73.8
StealsSTL1.11.5
BlocksBLK0.40.4
Threes3PM4.43.2
Field goal %FG%46.8%47.0%
Free throw %FT%92.3%88.6%
TurnoversTO2.81.8
Games, 2025-264366

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Stephen CurryTrey Murphy
Fantasy points46.338.4
Points30.921.8
Rebounds4.25.8
Assists5.53.8
Steals1.31.5
Blocks0.50.4
Threes5.13.3
Turnovers3.31.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryStephen CurryTrey Murphy
PointsPTS+1.7+0.8
ReboundsREB-1.0-0.1
AssistsAST+0.5+0.1
StealsSTL+0.3+1.4
BlocksBLK-0.6-0.7
Threes3PM+2.8+1.6
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6-0.4
Free throw percentageFT%+1.9+1.0
TurnoversTO-1.2+0.1
Total+3.9+3.8

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Trey Murphy.

PuntStephen CurryTrey Murphy
PTS+2.1 (#17)+2.8 (#10)
REB+5.3 (#6)+3.9 (#10)
AST+3.3 (#11)+3.6 (#8)
STL+3.6 (#12)+2.4 (#20)
BLK+4.8 (#7)+4.5 (#10)
3PM+0.9 (#41)+1.9 (#24)
FG%+5.4 (#7)+4.6 (#10)
FT%+1.8 (#27)+2.6 (#18)
TO+5.3 (#9)+3.8 (#18)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Stephen Curry: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back.
  • Trey Murphy: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Stephen Curry: 34.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 39.7 on the board.
  • Trey Murphy: 35.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 37.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Stephen Curry or Trey Murphy in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Stephen Curry. 39.7 fantasy points per game against 37.8, 33rd on our board to 41st. 9-cat leagues: Stephen Curry again, +3.9 in summed z-scores against +3.8 (10th to 11th).

  • Who wins more categories, Stephen Curry or Trey Murphy?

    Category by category, Stephen Curry is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Trey Murphy in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Stephen Curry or Trey Murphy?

    Stephen Curry plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy 3. For that week alone, start Stephen Curry: 119.2 projected fantasy points to 113.5 for Trey Murphy.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number