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Start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Chris Olave? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Chris Olave

Wrong: 15.5 to 19.6
Start

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · final

Market projected
18.9
pre-game
Snap share
96%
Week 4
Target share
22%
Week 4
Scored
15.5
PPR pts
Sit

Chris Olave

WR · NO · vs ATL · final

Market projected
18.3
pre-game
ATL D vs WR
38.4
5th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
86%
Week 4
Target share
26%
Week 4
Scored
19.6
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Chris Olave in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Amon-Ra St. Brown at 18.9 points and Chris Olave at 18.3, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.9 fantasy points for Amon-Ra St. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Amon-Ra St. Brown at 77.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (18, 16 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.3 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Chris Olave at 85.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (16, 13 and 17 market sources).

That puts Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.6 points ahead of Chris Olave on the market projections.

Week 4 matchups

Chris Olave and NO host ATL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

ATL allowed 38.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Injury status

Amon-Ra St. Brown was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Chris Olave was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 86 percent of DET snaps, drew 32 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 1 against NO: 69 of 77 snaps, 14 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 2 against BUF: 62 of 65 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 3 against NYJ: 48 of 65 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 3, Chris Olave played 84 percent of NO snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 47 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 2 against BAL: 57 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chris Olave, Week 3 against LV: 62 of 74 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 107 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games for DET and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets and 831 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 15.5 PPR points and Chris Olave scored 19.6.

The call was wrong: Chris Olave outscored Amon-Ra St. Brown by 4.1.

Amon-Ra St. Brown finished 3.4 points below the 18.9 the market projected.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 4 against CAR: 68 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 75 yards, 15.5 PPR points.

Amon-Ra St. Brown finished as the week's WR20 in PPR scoring.

Chris Olave finished 1.3 points above the 18.3 the market projected.

Chris Olave, Week 4 against ATL: 64 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 8 catches for 116 yards, 19.6 PPR points.

Chris Olave finished as the week's WR12 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR3 · DET · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 3-1

Overall rank
10
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

WR5 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
16
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board6
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 4
  • Board size210 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

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