Start CeeDee Lamb or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over CeeDee Lamb
Wrong: 16.8 to 41.3
- Market projected
- 16.8
- pre-game
- Scored
- 16.8
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 16.4
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 86%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 49%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 41.3
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over CeeDee Lamb in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.8 points and CeeDee Lamb at 16.4, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Market coverage on Aaron Jones Sr. is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 54% chance to score a touchdown (8 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.4 fantasy points for CeeDee Lamb, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has CeeDee Lamb at 75.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 42% chance to score a touchdown (3, 3 and 12 market sources).
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.4 points ahead of CeeDee Lamb on the market projections.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
CeeDee Lamb was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, CeeDee Lamb played 80 percent of DAL snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.
CeeDee Lamb, Week 1 against NYG: 47 of 58 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 1 touchdown.
CeeDee Lamb, Week 2 against WAS: 41 of 55 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns.
CeeDee Lamb, Week 3 against BAL: 61 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 112 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, CeeDee Lamb played 14 games for DAL and scored 200.9 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing WR22.
He caught 75 of 117 targets for 1077 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 754 air yards.
He was on the field for 75 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Aaron Jones Sr. scored 16.8 PPR points and CeeDee Lamb scored 41.3.
The call was wrong: CeeDee Lamb outscored Aaron Jones Sr. by 24.5.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished 0.0 points above the 16.8 the market projected.
CeeDee Lamb finished 24.9 points above the 16.4 the market projected.
CeeDee Lamb, Week 4 against HOU: 67 of 78 snaps, 1 carry for -6 yards, 21 targets and 17 catches for 189 yards, 1 touchdown, 41.3 PPR points.
CeeDee Lamb finished as the week's WR2 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR4 · DAL · bye 14
2026 vs anytime td line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 9
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
RB9 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 14
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board5
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 3 and tier 4
- Board size213 draftable players
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