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Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Sam Darnold in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 8:56 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks' Quenton Nelson, Sam Darnold among starters ruled out (ESPN)

Week 10 verdict

Start Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold is listed out, so Aaron Rodgers starts despite the lower projection.

Start

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
15.0
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · SEA · at LV · Out

Market projects
15.4
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
20.6
5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Through Week 8
Start Rodgers or Darnold? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold in Week 10. Sam Darnold is listed out, so Aaron Rodgers starts despite the lower projection. Darnold is listed out.

Should I drop Sam Darnold for Aaron Rodgers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB20 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs pass yds line 5-3

Market-based projection
15.0 pts a game

QB25 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 3-4

Market-based projection
14.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
121

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The gap

  • Board size320 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Rodgers, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Sam Darnold, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 26.

The market-based projections

Aaron Rodgers's market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 36th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Sam Darnold, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers has been on the field for 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 48 of 311 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 6 against TB he completed 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

In Week 7 against NO he completed 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

In Week 8 against CLE he completed 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 8, Sam Darnold has been on the field for 90 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 235 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 45 of 235 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 6 against DEN he completed 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 19 yards.

In Week 7 against KC he completed 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 8 against CHI he completed 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Rodgers played 16 games and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He threw for 3322 yards on 498 attempts with 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.1 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Sam Darnold played 17 games and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He threw for 4048 yards on 477 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 28.1 attempts a game at 9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Sam Darnold was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Sam Darnold scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Aaron Rodgers 14.6, 0.0 a game between them.

Aaron Rodgers finished QB18 that year and Sam Darnold QB13.

Aaron Rodgers had 21 more pass attempts than Sam Darnold, 498 to 477.

Sam Darnold had 726 more passing yards than Aaron Rodgers, 4048 to 3322.

This season Aaron Rodgers holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 90 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Aaron Rodgers is off in Week 9 and Sam Darnold in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Sam Darnold is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Sam Darnold has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Sam Darnold for Aaron Rodgers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Sam Darnold?

    No. Keep Aaron Rodgers: he projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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