Start David Montgomery or AJ Barner? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start David Montgomery over AJ Barner
Right: 4.3 to 2.2
- Market projected
- 11.8
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 56%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 4.3
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 8.2
- pre-game
- Scored
- 2.2
- PPR pts
Make this call for your own roster
Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.
Or get it by email
Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.
Free. One a week, one tap to stop.
Our Week 4 call
Start David Montgomery over AJ Barner in Week 4.
Market-based projections have David Montgomery at 11.8 points and AJ Barner at 8.2, a gap of 3.6.
Advertisement
What the market projects
Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for AJ Barner, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has AJ Barner at 30.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 26% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 16 market sources).
Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for David Montgomery, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has David Montgomery at 44.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14, 16 and 18 market sources).
That puts David Montgomery 3.6 points ahead of AJ Barner on the market projections.
Injury status
AJ Barner was not on the injury report when the call was made.
David Montgomery was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, David Montgomery played 54 percent of HOU snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.
David Montgomery, Week 1 against BUF: 39 of 79 snaps, 20 carries for 60 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.
David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.
He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
David Montgomery scored 4.3 PPR points and AJ Barner scored 2.2.
The call was right: David Montgomery outscored AJ Barner by 2.1.
David Montgomery finished 7.5 points below the 11.8 the market projected.
David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 19 yards, 4.3 PPR points.
David Montgomery finished as the week's RB49 in PPR scoring.
AJ Barner finished 6.0 points below the 8.2 the market projected.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB24 · HOU · bye 8
2026 vs carries line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 65
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
Ranked behind
TE21 · SEA · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 133
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board68
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 8 and tier 6
- Board size224 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant