Start Bhayshul Tuten or David Montgomery? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Bhayshul Tuten over David Montgomery
Right: 11.1 to 4.3
- Market projected
- 11.9
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 59%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 9%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 11.1
- PPR pts

- Market projected
- 11.8
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 56%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 4.3
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Bhayshul Tuten over David Montgomery in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Bhayshul Tuten at 11.9 points and David Montgomery at 11.8, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 11.9 fantasy points for Bhayshul Tuten, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Bhayshul Tuten at 55.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 46% chance to score a touchdown (17, 15, 16 and 18 market sources).
Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for David Montgomery, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has David Montgomery at 44.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14, 16 and 18 market sources).
That puts Bhayshul Tuten 0.2 points ahead of David Montgomery on the market projections.
Injury status
Bhayshul Tuten was not on the injury report when the call was made.
David Montgomery was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Bhayshul Tuten played 49 percent of JAX snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.
Bhayshul Tuten, Week 1 against CLE: 28 of 57 snaps, 15 carries for 66 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 22 yards.
Bhayshul Tuten, Week 2 against DEN: 30 of 59 snaps, 13 carries for 65 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -3 yards, 1 touchdown.
Bhayshul Tuten, Week 3 against NE: 30 of 62 snaps, 15 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 3, David Montgomery played 54 percent of HOU snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.
David Montgomery, Week 1 against BUF: 39 of 79 snaps, 20 carries for 60 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.
David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bhayshul Tuten played 15 games for JAX and scored 88.6 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB53.
He ran 83 times for 307 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 14 targets for 79 yards.
He was on the field for 21 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.
He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Bhayshul Tuten scored 11.1 PPR points and David Montgomery scored 4.3.
The call was right: Bhayshul Tuten outscored David Montgomery by 6.8.
Bhayshul Tuten finished 0.8 points below the 11.9 the market projected.
Bhayshul Tuten, Week 4 against CIN: 36 of 61 snaps, 17 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 11.1 PPR points.
Bhayshul Tuten finished as the week's RB28 in PPR scoring.
David Montgomery finished 7.5 points below the 11.8 the market projected.
David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 19 yards, 4.3 PPR points.
David Montgomery finished as the week's RB49 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB14 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 35
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
RB23 · HOU · bye 8
2026 vs carries line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 62
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board27
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 7
- Board size239 draftable players
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