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Start Ashton Jeanty or David Montgomery? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start David Montgomery over Ashton Jeanty

Wrong: 4.3 to 18.6
Start

David Montgomery

RB · final

Market projected
11.8
pre-game
Snap share
56%
Week 4
Target share
0%
Week 4
Scored
4.3
PPR pts
Sit

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · vs KC · final

Market projected
15.8
pre-game
KC D vs RB
20.0
13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
67%
Week 4
Target share
17%
Week 4
Scored
18.6
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start David Montgomery over Ashton Jeanty in Week 4.

Market-based projections have David Montgomery at 11.8 points and Ashton Jeanty at 15.8, a gap of 4.0.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Ashton Jeanty at 58.5 rushing yards, 19.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 14 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for David Montgomery, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has David Montgomery at 44.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14, 16 and 18 market sources).

That puts Ashton Jeanty 4.0 points ahead of David Montgomery on the market projections.

Week 4 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 20.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 38 more yards.

Injury status

Ashton Jeanty was not on the injury report when the call was made.

David Montgomery was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Ashton Jeanty played 80 percent of LV snaps, took 74 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 56 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Through Week 3, David Montgomery played 54 percent of HOU snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

David Montgomery, Week 1 against BUF: 39 of 79 snaps, 20 carries for 60 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

David Montgomery scored 4.3 PPR points and Ashton Jeanty scored 18.6.

The call was wrong: Ashton Jeanty outscored David Montgomery by 14.3.

David Montgomery finished 7.5 points below the 11.8 the market projected.

David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 19 yards, 4.3 PPR points.

David Montgomery finished as the week's RB49 in PPR scoring.

Ashton Jeanty finished 2.8 points above the 15.8 the market projected.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards, 18.6 PPR points.

Ashton Jeanty finished as the week's RB14 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB11 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
21
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

RB23 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 1-3

Overall rank
61
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board40
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 8
  • Board size232 draftable players

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