Start David Montgomery or Alvin Kamara? Week 4

Our Week 4 call

Start Alvin Kamara over David Montgomery in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 12.1 points and David Montgomery at 11.8, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Alvin Kamara at 37.5 rushing yards, 15.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (11, 16, 12 and 16 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for David Montgomery, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has David Montgomery at 44.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14, 16 and 18 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 0.3 points ahead of David Montgomery on the market projections.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara was not on the injury report when the call was made.

David Montgomery was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 2 against BAL: 20 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 15 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 7 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 3, David Montgomery played 54 percent of HOU snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

David Montgomery, Week 1 against BUF: 39 of 79 snaps, 20 carries for 60 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Alvin Kamara scored 22.8 PPR points and David Montgomery scored 4.3.

The call was right: Alvin Kamara outscored David Montgomery by 18.5.

Alvin Kamara finished 10.7 points above the 12.1 the market projected.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns, 22.8 PPR points.

Alvin Kamara finished as the week's RB9 in PPR scoring.

David Montgomery finished 7.5 points below the 11.8 the market projected.

David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 19 yards, 4.3 PPR points.

David Montgomery finished as the week's RB49 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Bhayshul Tuten.
• Start David Montgomery over AJ Barner.
• Start David Montgomery over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Bhayshul Tuten over David Montgomery.