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Start CeeDee Lamb or A.J. Brown? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start A.J. Brown over CeeDee Lamb

Wrong: 5.6 to 15.4
Start

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · at SEA

Books imply
14.7
fantasy pts
SEA D vs WR
21.7
6th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
44%
Week 1
Target share
13%
Week 1
Scored
5.6
PPR pts
Sit

CeeDee Lamb

WR · DAL · at NYG

Books imply
5.7
fantasy pts
NYG D vs WR
29.2
15th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
81%
Week 1
Target share
27%
Week 1
Scored
15.4
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start A.J. Brown over CeeDee Lamb in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project A.J. Brown at 14.7 points and CeeDee Lamb at 5.7, a gap of 9.0. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 16 and CeeDee Lamb at 10.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 5.7 fantasy points for CeeDee Lamb, with 30 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts A.J. Brown 9.0 points ahead of CeeDee Lamb on the books.

Week 1 matchups

CeeDee Lamb and DAL visit NYG on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

NYG allowed 29.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and a touchdown against NYG.

A.J. Brown and NE visit SEA on Wednesday at 8:20 PM ET.

SEA allowed 21.7 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 97 yards and no touchdowns against SEA.

By points allowed to the position, CeeDee Lamb has the softer matchup.

Injury status

CeeDee Lamb was not on the injury report when the call was made.

A.J. Brown was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, CeeDee Lamb played 14 games for DAL and scored 200.9 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing WR22.

He caught 75 of 117 targets for 1077 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 754 air yards.

He was on the field for 75 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 1 target and 1 catch for 4 yards, 1.4 PPR points.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 80 of 92 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 46 yards, 9.6 PPR points.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 50 of 58 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 51 yards, 11.1 PPR points.

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

A.J. Brown, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 61 of 70 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 95 yards, 18.5 PPR points.

A.J. Brown, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 50 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.1 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

A.J. Brown scored 5.6 PPR points and CeeDee Lamb scored 15.4.

The call was wrong: CeeDee Lamb outscored A.J. Brown by 9.8.

A.J. Brown finished 9.1 points below the 14.7 the props implied.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards, 5.6 PPR points.

A.J. Brown finished as the week's WR66 in PPR scoring.

CeeDee Lamb finished 9.7 points above the 5.7 the props implied.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 1 against NYG: 47 of 58 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.4 PPR points.

CeeDee Lamb finished as the week's WR20 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR6 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 4-10

Overall rank
64
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR73 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Overall rank
191
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board127
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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