Start Bijan Robinson or Alvin Kamara? Week 4

Our Week 4 call

Start Bijan Robinson over Alvin Kamara in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 23.0 points and Alvin Kamara at 11.7, a gap of 11.3.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 23.0 fantasy points for Bijan Robinson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Bijan Robinson at 88.5 rushing yards, 37.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 63% chance to score a touchdown (18, 18, 15 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.7 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Alvin Kamara at 36.5 rushing yards, 15.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (18, 17, 14 and 18 market sources).

That puts Bijan Robinson 11.3 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on the market projections.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Alvin Kamara was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Bijan Robinson played 66 percent of ATL snaps, took 65 percent of the carries, drew 22 percent of the targets and had 85 percent of the red zone chances.

Bijan Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 46 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 83 yards, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Bijan Robinson, Week 2 against CAR: 35 of 69 snaps, 16 carries for 72 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 51 of 71 snaps, 29 carries for 194 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 3, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 2 against BAL: 20 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 15 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 7 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Bijan Robinson scored 27.7 PPR points and Alvin Kamara scored 22.8.

The call was right: Bijan Robinson outscored Alvin Kamara by 4.9.

Bijan Robinson finished 4.7 points above the 23.0 the market projected.

Bijan Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 34 of 57 snaps, 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns, 27.7 PPR points.

Bijan Robinson finished as the week's RB5 in PPR scoring.

Alvin Kamara finished 11.1 points above the 11.7 the market projected.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns, 22.8 PPR points.

Alvin Kamara finished as the week's RB9 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

• Start Bijan Robinson over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Bijan Robinson over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Bijan Robinson over Brian Robinson.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Bhayshul Tuten.