Start Bijan Robinson or Ashton Jeanty? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Bijan Robinson over Ashton Jeanty
Right: 27.7 to 18.6
- Market projected
- 23.2
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 60%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 10%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 27.7
- PPR pts

- Market projected
- 15.8
- pre-game
- KC D vs RB
- 20.0
- 13th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 67%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 17%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 18.6
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Bijan Robinson over Ashton Jeanty in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 23.2 points and Ashton Jeanty at 15.8, a gap of 7.3.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Ashton Jeanty at 58.5 rushing yards, 19.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 15 and 18 market sources).
Player markets imply 23.2 fantasy points for Bijan Robinson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Bijan Robinson at 85.5 rushing yards, 39.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 64% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 13 and 17 market sources).
That puts Bijan Robinson 7.3 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the market projections.
Week 4 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
KC allowed 20.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 38 more yards.
Injury status
Ashton Jeanty was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Bijan Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Ashton Jeanty played 80 percent of LV snaps, took 74 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 56 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.
Through Week 3, Bijan Robinson played 66 percent of ATL snaps, took 65 percent of the carries, drew 22 percent of the targets and had 85 percent of the red zone chances.
Bijan Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 46 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 83 yards, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.
Bijan Robinson, Week 2 against CAR: 35 of 69 snaps, 16 carries for 72 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.
Bijan Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 51 of 71 snaps, 29 carries for 194 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.
He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Bijan Robinson scored 27.7 PPR points and Ashton Jeanty scored 18.6.
The call was right: Bijan Robinson outscored Ashton Jeanty by 9.1.
Bijan Robinson finished 4.5 points above the 23.2 the market projected.
Bijan Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 34 of 57 snaps, 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns, 27.7 PPR points.
Bijan Robinson finished as the week's RB5 in PPR scoring.
Ashton Jeanty finished 2.8 points above the 15.8 the market projected.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards, 18.6 PPR points.
Ashton Jeanty finished as the week's RB14 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB2 · ATL · bye 11
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 2
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
RB10 · LV · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 19
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board17
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 3
- Board size218 draftable players
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