Start Braelon Allen or Alvin Kamara? Week 4

Our Week 4 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 12.1 points and Braelon Allen at 11.8, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Alvin Kamara at 37.5 rushing yards, 15.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (11, 16, 12 and 16 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Braelon Allen at 56.5 rushing yards, 11.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 16 and 17 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 0.3 points ahead of Braelon Allen on the market projections.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 2 against BAL: 20 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 15 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 7 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 3, Braelon Allen played 41 percent of NYJ snaps, took 23 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 2 against GB: 23 of 74 snaps, 5 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Alvin Kamara scored 22.8 PPR points and Braelon Allen scored 8.7.

The call was right: Alvin Kamara outscored Braelon Allen by 14.1.

Alvin Kamara finished 10.7 points above the 12.1 the market projected.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns, 22.8 PPR points.

Alvin Kamara finished as the week's RB9 in PPR scoring.

Braelon Allen finished 3.1 points below the 11.8 the market projected.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 8.7 PPR points.

Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB33 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Bhayshul Tuten.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Braelon Allen.
• Start Bhayshul Tuten over Braelon Allen.
• Start Bucky Irving over Braelon Allen.