Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Braelon Allen? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Braelon Allen
Right: 16.8 to 8.7
- Market projected
- 14.7
- pre-game
- Scored
- 16.8
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 13.4
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 94%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 13%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 8.7
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Braelon Allen in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.7 points and Braelon Allen at 13.4, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Braelon Allen's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (12 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Braelon Allen at 55.5 rushing yards, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 10 market sources).
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.3 points ahead of Braelon Allen on the market projections.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Braelon Allen played 41 percent of NYJ snaps, took 23 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.
Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Braelon Allen, Week 2 against GB: 23 of 74 snaps, 5 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1 touchdown.
Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.
He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.
He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Aaron Jones Sr. scored 16.8 PPR points and Braelon Allen scored 8.7.
The call was right: Aaron Jones Sr. outscored Braelon Allen by 8.1.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished 2.1 points above the 14.7 the market projected.
Braelon Allen finished 4.7 points below the 13.4 the market projected.
Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 8.7 PPR points.
Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB33 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB9 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 17
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB12 · NYJ · bye unlisted
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 23
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board6
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size221 draftable players
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